Archive for the ‘Bearish’ Category

Short Selling, Part Seven

Tuesday, September 9th, 2008

Short SellingLately, we’ve been talking a lot about short selling in this blog. In particular, we’ve been talking about the pros and cons of short selling, and last time I mentioned that there was a distinct dark side to the practice that causes many to cringe when they even hear the term. This time, we’re going to talk about exactly that.

Short and Distort

Short selling is a somewhat cryptic process that is rarely understood all that well by the amateur investor. Because of this, it creates a ripe opportunity for unscrupulous traders to take advantage of short selling and twist it into a market-harming “money making machine” that doesn’t respect the true meaning of free commerce and investing.

When this happens, investors resort to using a tactics known as the “short and distort”. The way it works is this. Imagine that you have a bear market. The prices of stocks are almost universally down, and prospects all around aren’t so great. Traders might take this opportunity to buy a bunch of short options in a stock. Of course, that in itself is perfectly normal and ethical. However, what makes the “short and distort” such a terrible practice is that the investors then go on to spread slander and lies about the businesses that they’ve bought shorts in.

Slander Is Believable

Obviously, in a bull market, everyone is already nervous and pessimistic. Slander is thus easily believed, and it’s easy for investors to cripple a company through these means. When that happens, they walk away from the smoking wreckage with a handy profit, purchased at the cost of their integrity as real business people.

Of course short selling has its dark side. So do all forms of investing. It’s the ease with which short selling can be exploited however that makes it a particular target for scepticism.

See you next week for part 8 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Short Selling, Part Six

Tuesday, September 2nd, 2008

MarketLast time in this blog, we started discussing the ethics of short selling. We mentioned how it’s often the case that short sellers are looked up with something of a blend of derision and skepticism simply because their own profit is dependent upon the losses of others. However true this may or may not be, there are more pressing accusations being leveled against the short seller that demand our attention; namely, the accusation that short sellers actually harm the market.

Controversy Surrounding Short Sellers

Many of you might remember the huge stock market crash back in 1987. While there were a lot of contributing factors to that fiasco, such as the sharp increase in program trading around that time, there are many who are eager to blame the entire situation on short sellers. While there’s not a ton of evidence to support this claim, there’s enough of a correlation between spikes in short selling and downturns in the market for market regulators to have enacted certain guidelines and limitations that inhibit the short seller’s ability to actually affect the direction of the market.

Contribution To The Market

market decreaseOf course, for all these claims of being bad for the market, there is one aspect of short selling that undeniably makes a contribution to the market that can’t come from anywhere else. It provides a sense of liquidity to the market, keeping trades fluid, and while it tends to drive down the price of stocks overall, it also tends to drive down those that are actually overpriced and should be driven down. In this sense, short sellers can be seen as a fail safe measure against those who would seek to commit fraud by introducing securities that they know are unstable and will soon crash on hopeful investors.

All in all, short selling is a give and take kind of situation. While many aren’t fans of it, they allow it to stick around because of the undeniable benefits that it offers the market in general. Next time, however, we’ll need to take a look at one aspect of short selling that is all-around negative: those investors who make use of distinctly unethical tactics in order to facilitate their short selling.

See you next week for part 7 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Short Selling, Part Three

Tuesday, August 12th, 2008

bearLast time, we talked about how short selling is a valuable trading technique that can go a long way towards ensuring your long term profitability as a trader. The ability to profit during a bear market is one of the hallmarks of a seasoned trader, and something that can really make the difference between an amateur and someone who knows what they’re doing.

Short Selling Transaction

Let’s take a look at how a short selling transaction might play out, so that we can better understand the situation for ourselves. In doing so, we can come to realize just when employing a short sell transaction might be useful to us, and when it might become a disaster.

Presume that you take a look at the market and come to the conclusion that a certain stock is about to plummet. You can see it on the horizon, but you haven’t heard the rumbling elsewhere yet. It’s something that’s not anticipated, just a hunch that you have.

Let’s say that stock in that company is currently selling at $100. You decide you’re going to capitalize on their failure and short sell a bundle of shares valued at $1000.

Two Possible Outcomes

InvestingFlash forward a few months and we can see two possible outcomes. In the first, your predictions proved to be correct, and the value of the stock dropped from $100 to $50. Now, you’re forced to buy back the stock in question that you short sold, but in so doing, you’re only spending $500. That’s $500 profit on your initial investment!

But suppose the opposite had happened? If the value of the stock had instead surprised you and risen to $150, then you’re be forced to pay back $1500, losing a total of $500 on the trade.

Clearly, short selling is something that we have to carefully study if we’re going to be able to do it wisely and profitably. Next time, we’ll take a more in depth look at some of the risks involved in short selling.

See you next week for part 4 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Short Selling, Part Two

Tuesday, August 5th, 2008

People TradingLast time in this blog, we introduced the concept of short selling, something that we’re going to be discussing over the next few entries. It’s a pretty simple technique that quite a lot of people are involved in, but like any aspect of trading, it involves its own unique set of risks and opportunities. As such, it warrants a closer look than you might have given it in the past.

What Exactly Is Short Selling?

Like we said last time, it’s a way to profit off of a bear market. You invest in a stock, but you profit when the value of the stock decreases rather than increases. Here’s how it works.

When you short sell a stock, you’re essentially selling a stock that you do not own. If that sounds weird to you, well… that’s because it’s a weird situation, and hard for many to understand. When you short sell, your broker is entering an agreement with you that they’re paying you for the selling of a stock today and that you’ll actually buy that stock at a later date, in order to restore balance to the transaction.

bear marketOne typically engages in short selling when they expect that the value of a stock is about to fall soon. Say that you short sell on a stock that is worth $1000. You do this and the broker gives you that $1000. Then, before the time period expires in which you have to actually buy the stock in question, the stock collapses and is worth only $500. You’ve just made $500 off the decline of a stock!

Of course, there are risks to be had here. For example, if the value of the stock rises, then you’re still obligated to make the purchase. You might well find yourself having to shell out significantly more than you sold for in the first place. Next time, we’re going to take a closer look at what goes on in a short sell transaction.

See you next week for part 3 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Short Selling, Part One

Tuesday, July 29th, 2008

luckLately in this blog, we’ve been talking a lot about stock picking strategies. When you get right down to it, the whole essence of investing in the stock market boils down to being able to pick the right stocks at the right time. This is largely a matter based on “luck”, but that doesn’t stop people from trying to devise systems to make it more comprehensible and certain. And some of those systems, as we’ve seen, actually do make a lot of sense.

Handling Your Investments

Starting with this entry, though, we’re going to shift gears a little bit. We’re going to begin taking a more in-depth look at topics related to how to handle your investments once you’ve actually identified the stocks that you care to put your hard-earned money into.

The first of these techniques that we’re going to explore is known as short-selling. If you’ve been investing for a while, then there were probably a few occasions on which you just knew that a stock was about to collapse under its own weight. Maybe you wondered if it was possible to profit off of a situation like that, increasing the value of your portfolio substantially, even during a bear market?

Short Selling Is The Answer

Well, it’s entirely possible. What’s more, it’s something that is done every single day on the market by confident traders who know how to make the most of a “bad” situation. What makes it possible is short-selling.

Market FallingShort selling works almost the complete opposite of a typical investment. When most people buy stocks, they try to buy at a low price, and then hold onto their investments as their value grows over a period of time. Once the value has risen, they sell their investments (hopefully for a profit). Short selling, however, is when your purchased stock earns you money only when its value goes DOWN!

How does it all work? We’ll take an in-depth look next time.

See you next week for part 2 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008