The Bull Hunters Guide

Last time in this blog, we started discussing the ethics of short selling. We mentioned how it’s often the case that short sellers are looked up with something of a blend of derision and skepticism simply because their own profit is dependent upon the losses of others. However true this may or may not be, there are more pressing accusations being leveled against the short seller that demand our attention; namely, the accusation that short sellers actually harm the market.

Controversy Surrounding Short Sellers

Many of you might remember the huge stock market crash back in 1987. While there were a lot of contributing factors to that fiasco, such as the sharp increase in program trading around that time, there are many who are eager to blame the entire situation on short sellers. While there’s not a ton of evidence to support this claim, there’s enough of a correlation between spikes in short selling and downturns in the market for market regulators to have enacted certain guidelines and limitations that inhibit the short seller’s ability to actually affect the direction of the market.

Contribution To The Market

Of course, for all these claims of being bad for the market, there is one aspect of short selling that undeniably makes a contribution to the market that can’t come from anywhere else. It provides a sense of liquidity to the market, keeping trades fluid, and while it tends to drive down the price of stocks overall, it also tends to drive down those that are actually overpriced and should be driven down. In this sense, short sellers can be seen as a fail safe measure against those who would seek to commit fraud by introducing securities that they know are unstable and will soon crash on hopeful investors.

All in all, short selling is a give and take kind of situation. While many aren’t fans of it, they allow it to stick around because of the undeniable benefits that it offers the market in general. Next time, however, we’ll need to take a look at one aspect of short selling that is all-around negative: those investors who make use of distinctly unethical tactics in order to facilitate their short selling.

See you next week for part 7 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Hi again. Recently in this blog, we’ve been covering the topic of short selling and all that it implies. We’ve gone over exactly what short selling is, who does it, what they hope to gain by doing so, and perhaps most importantly, what they stand to lose. Yet, apart from all of these concerns, short selling carries its own unique set of questions that don’t tend to come up in other discussions regarding the market.

Questions Of An Ethical Concern

Despite the degree to which short selling has become an accepted and standardized aspect of trading on the free market, it’s no secret that short sellers themselves aren’t really seen in such a positive light. The reason for this is that short selling itself is an inherently pessimistic process. You only stand to make a profit from short selling when the securities that you invest in do poorly.

Of course, if you only take part in short selling, it’s easy to see why others would regard you as someone who is hoping for the worst. Because most people have at least some investments that stand to profit from upwards movements in the market, you become some of their antithesis – when one of you makes a profit, the other one has to suffer. In other words, short sellers often find themselves set apart from the crowd when it comes to investing.

Bringing The Market Down

However, perhaps more importantly than this emotional impression of short selling, is the argument that short selling can actually have a detrimental effect on the overall status of the market. More than just being a practice founded in betting against one’s neighbour, it is often said that short selling actively works to bring down the market as a motivated force in itself. Next time around, we’re going to take a look at these accusations and see just what truth there is to them, if any.

See you next week for part 6 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Over the last few entries, we’ve taken quite a detailed look at the process of short selling, or selling stocks that you don’t own under the agreement that you’ll actually put up the money to buy them at a future date. In doing so, your hope is that the value of the stock will decrease and that the price you have to pay is less than the money you received by “selling” them.

Short Selling Is Risky

Of course, this is a risky proposition. There’s an awful lot that can go wrong, especially if the value of the stocks that you’ve short sold happen to go up rather than down. Let’s take a look at some of the major risks of short selling.

First of all, there’s the matter of historical precedent. Historically speaking, stocks do tend to go up rather than down. It’s just a general rule of thumb that has applied to the market over the decades. Because the very nature of short selling involves the assumption that a stock will go down, you’re automatically working against historical precedent, so be aware of that.

Secondly, there is no limit to the potential losses when you short sell. Since you lose out on a short sell when the value of the stock increases, it’s entirely possible for that stock to skyrocket without limit. If that happens, you could quickly be ruined. On the other hand, the distance between the price you short sold for and zero is the maximum possible profit that you can gain.

Lastly, short selling automatically involves the practice of trading on margin. This entails the use of borrowed money, which is a risky proposition in and of itself even without the added dangers of short selling stacked on top of it. You might fall prey to sudden margin calls even, which is one of the most disastrous things that can befall a trader. Even if you’re right, it might take quite a while for your stock to decrease in value, and in the meantime, you’ll be sitting on short sold stocks bought on margin that are increasing in interest and ultimately costing you money.

Long story short, if you’re going to short sell, you need to be absolutely aware of all the risks that are involved. Of course, it’s not all about making of losing money. There are a lot of ethical concerns involved in short selling as well, that we’ll take a look at next time out.

See you next week for part 5 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Last time, we talked about how short selling is a valuable trading technique that can go a long way towards ensuring your long term profitability as a trader. The ability to profit during a bear market is one of the hallmarks of a seasoned trader, and something that can really make the difference between an amateur and someone who knows what they’re doing.

Short Selling Transaction

Let’s take a look at how a short selling transaction might play out, so that we can better understand the situation for ourselves. In doing so, we can come to realize just when employing a short sell transaction might be useful to us, and when it might become a disaster.

Presume that you take a look at the market and come to the conclusion that a certain stock is about to plummet. You can see it on the horizon, but you haven’t heard the rumbling elsewhere yet. It’s something that’s not anticipated, just a hunch that you have.

Let’s say that stock in that company is currently selling at $100. You decide you’re going to capitalize on their failure and short sell a bundle of shares valued at $1000.

Two Possible Outcomes

Flash forward a few months and we can see two possible outcomes. In the first, your predictions proved to be correct, and the value of the stock dropped from $100 to $50. Now, you’re forced to buy back the stock in question that you short sold, but in so doing, you’re only spending $500. That’s $500 profit on your initial investment!

But suppose the opposite had happened? If the value of the stock had instead surprised you and risen to $150, then you’re be forced to pay back $1500, losing a total of $500 on the trade.

Clearly, short selling is something that we have to carefully study if we’re going to be able to do it wisely and profitably. Next time, we’ll take a more in depth look at some of the risks involved in short selling.

See you next week for part 4 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Last time in this blog, we introduced the concept of short selling, something that we’re going to be discussing over the next few entries. It’s a pretty simple technique that quite a lot of people are involved in, but like any aspect of trading, it involves its own unique set of risks and opportunities. As such, it warrants a closer look than you might have given it in the past.

What Exactly Is Short Selling?

Like we said last time, it’s a way to profit off of a bear market. You invest in a stock, but you profit when the value of the stock decreases rather than increases. Here’s how it works.

When you short sell a stock, you’re essentially selling a stock that you do not own. If that sounds weird to you, well… that’s because it’s a weird situation, and hard for many to understand. When you short sell, your broker is entering an agreement with you that they’re paying you for the selling of a stock today and that you’ll actually buy that stock at a later date, in order to restore balance to the transaction.

One typically engages in short selling when they expect that the value of a stock is about to fall soon. Say that you short sell on a stock that is worth $1000. You do this and the broker gives you that $1000. Then, before the time period expires in which you have to actually buy the stock in question, the stock collapses and is worth only $500. You’ve just made $500 off the decline of a stock!

Of course, there are risks to be had here. For example, if the value of the stock rises, then you’re still obligated to make the purchase. You might well find yourself having to shell out significantly more than you sold for in the first place. Next time, we’re going to take a closer look at what goes on in a short sell transaction.

See you next week for part 3 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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