The Bull Hunters Guide

Last time in this blog, we began to discuss the CANSLIM method of choosing stocks. Something of a complex system for choosing, CANSLIM involves the study of 7 different criteria in an attempt to pick stocks that are most likely to generate profits for the investors. It differs from other systems in that it doesn’t depend very much on forecasting an uncertain future, but rather on the objective analysis of the current status of a stock. That’s why it has to cover so many variables, and consequently, why we needed to split it up over two entries!

Last time, we mentioned that CANSLIM has to take into consideration the current and annual earnings of a stock, as well as how the company is adapting and making changes in the marketplace, whether it be in terms of new management, new products, or just new policies on how they will conduct business. That covers the CAN part.

Supply, Demand and Leader

The S in CANSLIM stands for “Supply and Demand”. This is a very basic rule of economics that applies to all economic markets and should be very well understood by all investors, even beginning ones. How supply and demand relates to CANSLIM is that CANSLIM strategies hold that, overall, it’s easier for smaller companies to show greater profits. This is because larger companies require a greater demand in order to push the kind of supply that should show huge profits.

The L in CANSLIM stands for “Leader or Laggard”. This refers to the fact that a CANSLIM strategist asserts that one should look at the difference between those companies that lead the market and those that lag behind. Investors are always looking for the next big thing, which is just another way of saying that they’re looking for those companies that lead the market. In order to determine this, one should look for stocks that perform better than 75% of their competitors in the same industry.

Institutional Sponsorship and Market direction

The I in CANSLIM stands for “Institutional Sponsorship”. This means that a CANSLIM strategist looks for companies that demonstrate some kind of sponsorship from important and well-backed institutions. This is generally a sign that an industry has faith in a company, and that it’s going to be around, generating profits for the long haul.

The M stands for “Market Direction”. This means that a CANSLIM strategist must look not only at the stock in question, but at the entirety of the market in question. Whether or not the market as a whole is moving up or down has a big effect on the profitability of a stock. Even if all the other six factors seem sound, the company will probably not succeed and generate profits in a failing market.

Phew. That’s it for CANSLIM. Next time, we’ll continue our look at the most popular stock picking strategies out there. We’re nearly at the end, folks! Until then, happy trading!

See you next week for part 9 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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This continues our series of in-depth looks at the different strategies that are commonly employed by big name investors when they go to choose the stocks that they’re going to invest their hard earned money into. In fact, though it’s the case that everyone out there seems to have their own system for doing things, there are a fairly set number of strategies that seem to pop up over and over again. It’s these that we’ve been examining, as we feel they’re the most noteworthy.

CANSLIM

Having discussed all the basic and secondary strategies already, we’re going to move on to a stock picking strategy that represents something of a modern hybrid of picking techniques. It’s known as CANSLIM, and the whole idea is that it allows one to pay attention to a lot of different objective factors at the same time (seven to be exact) in an attempt to pick a stock without relying on subjective forecasts of future values that might not end up holding water.

Because it’s such a complex strategy, we’re going to cover it in two separate blog entries. Three of the aspects will be covered this time, and four next time, finishing it up.

What Does CANSLIM Stand For?

First off, the C in CANSLIM stands for “Current Earnings”. This is meant to indicate that you need to look at whether or not a stock’s earnings per share have risen on a consistent yearly basis. Generally speaking, if a stock’s earnings per share are continuing to increase over a period of a year, it’s said to be in good condition as far as this criteria is concerned.

The A stands for “Annual Earnings”. This indicates that one should look at whether or not a company has shown a good consistent growth over a period of years. Clearly, this implies that companies with a history of at least a few years tend to be in better standing in the CANSLIM method. However, there’s something of an exception…

The N stands for “New”. This means that CANSLIM strategists tend to look for companies that are offering something new. Because they also look for consistent growth over a long history, this means that they usually seek out old companies that are undergoing changes that alter the way that they do business. This could be anything from new management, to a new product line.

Next time, we’ll cover the other four aspects of CANSLIM.

See you next week for part 8 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Recently, we’ve been discussing a host of stock picking strategies and looking at the applications of each. We’ve dealt with underlying fundamentals such as fundamental analysis, and qualitative analysis, as well as the two immediate offshoots from those: growth investing and value investing. We’ve even looked at a more modern methodology that comprises a fusion of both growth and value investing: GARP investing.

Income Investing

This week, however, we’re going to look at an investment strategy that is arguably the most straightforward of them all. In that the end goal of investing is to ultimately turn a profit and generate income, the stated goal of income investing is right in line with that: to pick the stocks that will provide the most steady income.

This runs counter to what many investors think about income. Typically, they view investments like stocks as being a risk with little to no guarantees outside of certain option spreads. For steady, secure income they look to more traditional alternatives like savings bonds. However, when we’re looking at stocks that pay out dividends, it’s certainly possible to draw a good steady income, just from one’s stocks.

Income investors usually tend to invest in those stocks that are tied to older, established businesses, rather than trying to find the next big thing. The reason for this strategy is that these companies have a very solid foundation in the marketplace and “aren’t going anywhere”. They have no real need to reinvest their earnings into themselves, so very often they tend to pay them out to their shareholders in the form of annual dividends.

The Highest Dividends

However, it isn’t just about picking those companies that pay out the highest yearly dividends. Good income investors will also look at a figure called the dividend yield, which is calculated by dividing the annual dividend paid per share by the price of the share itself. This will give one a percentage figure that determines the dividend yield. Typically, income investors look for a high dividend yield no matter what the actual numbers are – a figure somewhere around 5-8% seems to be the sweet spot that most are looking for.

In the end, income investing can be boiled down to the following summary: finding companies with good, high dividend yields that will allow the investors to receive a steady income in dividends over time without much concern for growth or undervaluing or any of the other principles that make up the other popular strategies.

See you next week for part 7 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Over the last few entries, we’ve been looking at different stock picking strategies and how they measure up, as well as the fundamental principles that inform them. The purpose here isn’t so much to find one magic strategy that always picks winners, but rather to inform the reader to be able to look at strategies and tell how sound they are based on the principles that form the backbone of those strategies.

Value and Growth Investing

In the last two entries, we talked about value investing and growth investing. In other words, investing based upon the perceived value of a stock, and investing based upon the projected growth of a stock over a period of time. Today, we’re going to expand upon both of those slightly by looking at a new kind of strategy that forms something of a hybrid of the two, taking the advantages of both are trying to meld them together into a cohesive whole. This is called GARP investing.

The GARP Strategy

The GARP strategy basically involves looking for companies that are undervalued by the market as a whole, yet have solid potential for sustainable growth in the near future. In particular, those who employ the GARP strategy tend to look for those companies that fall into the gap that’s overlooked by pure value or pure growth investors. In other words, a GARP investment would probably be not as undervalued as the pick of a pure value investor, but would still qualify as undervalued enough to earn a profit based upon its future growth potential.

The True Nature of The GARP Method

There is a lot of criticism about the GARP method out there, because of its perceived unwillingness to commit to one method or the other. This conception, however, betrays a misunderstanding of the true nature of the GARP method. The claim that it fails to establish meaningful standards of worthiness for an investment don’t hold water, because if one looks at GARP in isolation from other strategies, it still defines a very specific set of characteristics that adherents should look out for.

GARP = Growth At a Reasonable Price

See you next week for part 6 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Hello again, and welcome back. This time, we’re still discussing the different theories on how best to choose a stock that is poised to give big gains in the future. It sure sounds simple enough, but there are a lot of conflicting ideas out there, and we’re planning to examine each one in turn to see just how well they hold up.

The goal of fundamental analysis

Last time, we talked a bit about fundamental analysis, and how its main goal was to look at the numbers of a company in order to generate a mathematically supported future projection for the company’s cash flows. Since this is essentially the same kind of appraisal one would do when buying a company, it makes sense to apply it to the stock market, and indeed most of the strategies we’ll discuss here are simply an extension of evolution of the idea of fundamental analysis in some way or another.

Qualitative analysis

The first of these is qualitative analysis. What qualitative analysis has to say might seen very obvious, but it’s something that some of us don’t care to admit because it tends to throw a very large monkey wrench into our carefully controlled fundamental analysis calculations. The main idea behind qualitative analysis is that attention must be paid to the subjective, “quality”-based parts of a company, as well as the objective aspects of the situation (the numbers).

Appraising a company

To appraise a company in the qualitative sense, investors tend to need to do a lot of research and ask a lot of questions. Of course, in many cases, a lot of the research will already be done for them, but they still have to take the initiative to seek it out before they put their money down. Questions like the following tend to be very helpful in accessing the subjective quality of a company.

Where did the company come from? No company springs up overnight. Discover the company’s origins, and by extension, whether or not the company really seems to have a solid foundation under it.

Company policies

What ideas drive company policies? Companies that are in their respective industries to turn a fast buck and then cash out may have good numbers on paper but are clearly not wise ideas for long term investors. It pays, then, to know a thing or two about the philosophy behind a company’s leaders.

A close eye on “who’s in charge”

Who are the people in charge of this company? Oftentimes, a company will change hands, and this can happen without small scale investors even being aware of it if they aren’t paying attention. For this reason, it’s important to keep a close eye on the individuals in charge of the companies you’re invested in, in order to make sure that the individuals running them seem qualified for the job.

Of course, it’s also important to analyze the industry as a whole. No company exists in a vacuum, and the trends that affect the industry will affect the companies within that industry as well.

Real value of a company

As we can see, this whole concept of using “strategies” to pick stocks is going to be a lot more complicated than perhaps we foresaw. Of course, there are some sound tips coming up, and plenty of valuable information, but for now, meditate on this all important concept: the real value of a company has to be measured at least in part by real human inquiry, not just calculations and optimistic graphs.

See you next week for part 3 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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