Stock Picking Strategies, Part One

Tuesday, May 20th, 2008

Recently in this blog, we’ve addressed the topic of general stock market tips that were intended to help new investors come to terms with some of the myths and rumours that dominate the market, as well as to avoid some typical mistakes that often spell the downfall of first time investors. Having addressed a sufficient amount of those, however, it’s time to move on to some more specific topics. In particular, we’re going to begin to discuss the different strategies that are normally employed for choosing winning stocks and comment on the pros and cons of each one.

Having it all figured out

Stock picking strategiesEveryone out there seems to have it all figured out when it comes to the market. They all think they have the sure-fire formula for picking up on the next big thing and hitting it big all with one well placed investment. The truth is, of course, that no one can accurately predict the future all of the time. If they could, there wouldn’t be any fun in playing the market!

As one plays the market and grows accustomed to its ups and downs, one can’t help but to begin to see patterns. This is just the nature of the phenomenal (and shortcut-loving) human mind at work. Everyone develops their own strategies. Be that as it may, there are certain strategies that have risen to the forefront and tend to be seized upon as “sound strategies” by a majority of individuals.

Fundamental analysis

The first of these, and the most important is the concept of “fundamental analysis”. Simply put, this is, of course, the analysis of the fundamentals of a company. But what exactly does that mean? The main theory here is that stocks tend to have a “real value” which is separate from the nominal value that it is being traded at on the market.

This “real value” is determined by looking at a number of factors, including the projected future cash flows of the company in question (the same thing you would look at when buying a company outright, which in a very real sense, is what stock trading is all about), as well as how fast it will generate the profit it seems to be ready to generate, and what that passage of time means in terms of inflation.

Differing schools of thought

Phew. It’s a lot to think about, and maybe that’s why there’s so many competing schools of thought on how best to determine what the real value of a company is. Those differing schools of thought are what we’re going to be discussing over the next several posts in this blog.

Until then, happy trading!

See you next week for part 2 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Basic Investment Strategies, Part 11: Avoiding the Deep End

Saturday, May 10th, 2008

In my excitement the latest release of my Internet Marketing ebook, I managed to totally forget my Bullhunter blog. My apologies! Maybe I can cheer you up with this video on my motivational blog >> It is guaranteed to make you laugh. Now, onto the topic: Basic Investment Strategies.

Underlying stock market needs

In any type of activity, there are always those people who seem to need to “keep up with the Joneses”. If the neighbors buy a new car, they have to buy a new one, and preferably one that’s more expensive, with fancier features. If the neighbors get new golf clubs, guess what? They’ve got to have them as well. No one is really sure what drives this sort of behavior, but it’s obvious that there’s some sort of underlying need for these people to prove themselves to those individuals with whom they are interacting. When these people become involved with the stock market, it’s just a disaster waiting to happen.

The serious investor

How many times have you heard the phrase serious investor used to describe someone who has sunk nearly all of their assets into the stock market? Don’t fall into this trap! The seriousness of an investor is measured by the amount of thought and care they put into managing their portfolio, not the actual dollar amount that they’re playing with. Some people never seem to get this message though. In an attempt to be taken seriously, they just keep on sinking in more and more money, regardless of the potential consequences.

What do you hope to gain by investing?

What ends up happening to these people, inevitably, is that a loss hits them, and they lose way more than they are comfortable with losing. In their desire to look serious or to be taken seriously by others, they failed to ask themselves the question of what they hoped to gain by investing. Some people are okay with a loss of 20% on their investments. Some can even handle 50%. Others might run screaming at a mere 10% loss. All of this is fine so long as you’re honest with yourself about how deeply you want to swim in this pool. Don’t go out further than you’re comfortable with, and you’ll never get into trouble that you can’t get out of.

See you next week for part 12 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Basic Investment Strategies, Part Ten: Learn to Let Go

Tuesday, April 29th, 2008

Fantast sport leagueEver hear of those “fantasy sports” leagues? People meet up on websites or even in person to build their own fantasy sports team comprised of all their favorite team members from all the various teams throughout the actual league. Then, every time a game is played in real life, the performance of the players who are involved in each person’s fantasy team are evaluated and an overall value is given to each fantasy team. At the end of the season, the fantasy team that contains the most valuable players is announced as the winning team.

The Fantasy Stock Market

Some people, it seems, like to play fantasy stock market. They do an awful lot of speculating in “what ifs” and it tends to take time away from their actual investing. This is especially true of those individuals who can never seem to let go of a stock once they sell it. We’ve all probably met someone like this. They had a poorly performing stock so they decided to sell all their shares in it. But now, they check the status of that stock more obsessively than when they actually owned it! Even though it can’t possibly affect them now which direction the stock takes, they have to know how it’s doing anyway, they have to know if they made the right choice. What if they didn’t? What if they would have been better off holding on for a little while longer?

Learn To Let Go

Fantast stock marketLetting go is one of the most important lessons to learn in the stock market. The fact is that you’re going to pick some duds over the course of your career as an investor, and when you do, you need to just forget about them and move on. If you’re constantly looking backwards and dwelling on your mistakes and whether or not they were really as bad of mistakes as you thought they were will prevent you from doing what every real investor needs to do: look ahead to the future.

Stocks Poor? Ditch It!

If you have a poorly performing stock that’s causing you grief, sell it and let that be the end of it. If you happen to come across a report of how it’s performing, fine, but don’t bother to seek it out. You’re just wasting your time. You might as well try to keep tabs on every single stock in the exchange! Instead, focus on those stocks in which you still have an actual investment, and those on which you’re thinking about investing in the near future. They are the areas that are really worth your attention and concern.

See you next week for part 11 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Basic Investment Strategies, Part Seven: Start Early

Tuesday, April 1st, 2008

This week, we’re going to cover another one of those “common sense” strategies that nevertheless always seem to be so helpful. The real problem with common sense is simply that: it’s common. It’s always right there, out in the open, so as time passes, people tend to overlook it. A pretty ironic situation, really. In light of that, let’s take a look at one of the bits of conventional stock market wisdom that really needs to be driven home, especially for young investors.

Compounding growth

Nestegg investmentsLike with any other type of savings, compounding growth is more or less the end all and be all of investment. What starts as a 1000 dollar investment that gains 10 percent becomes a 1100 dollar investment. If it hits that same growth again, it becomes a 1210 dollar investment, and then a 1331 dollar one. Simply put, the longer you have your money working for you in some type of investment, the more growth it can achieve.

As such, it is critically important to start investing in the market as early as you can. Young investors need to take a look at the idea of diversification and find some way to balance that virtue with the virtue of having a few core stocks that you tend to keep with you over the life of your portfolio (always keeping an eye on them, of course).

Early means more time to profit

Compound interestInvesting early has another meaning as well: if you invest your funds early in the life of company, they will have more time to spend with that company as it matures and develops. If it goes on to be a successful company, you will have maximized your earnings by investing in them as early as you possibly could.

Remember, the real name of the game here is compounding. Receiving a gain on money that you invest is exactly equivalent to investing that new larger amount. As your initial investment grows, so to does the potential for future growth on that investment. Developing a long term strategy can help you go a long way.

See you next week for part 8 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

Basic Investment Strategies, Part Six: Keep One Eye Open

Tuesday, March 25th, 2008

Stock market ideasWe’ve covered a lot of investment tips in this blog so far, and the majority of them have dealt with the idea that you shouldn’t be motivated into making sweeping changes to your portfolio or overall investment strategy as the result of panic. In other words, we’ve stressed weathering the storm, because this is one of the most important lessons that a beginning investor can learn to set his or herself apart from the total amateurs. Today, however, we’re going to shift gears a little bit and start dealing with that part of the stock market that tends to get everyone excited: the fast-paced fluctuation.

Buy and hold forever?

We’re going to bust a piece of conventional wisdom right now. It used to be the case that there were certain stocks out there that one could buy and hold forever. So called blue chip investments that would continue to grow and grow throughout the life of the investor, providing a constant return and a continuous source of reliable growth. However, those were simpler times.

Changes to the marketplace

Markets on the moveNowadays, industries are much more competitive and there are many more fish in the sea. The internet represents a whole new arena upon which corporations do battle, and it has so far proven to be one that can change the face of the entire market in both positive and negative ways. It’s a different world, and it’s one that’s in constant shift. New technologies come and go (or come and stay) with a much greater frequency than they used to, and the old adages just simply don’t hold. Even the best investment can wither over time, and even if it doesn’t totally turn over and start producing losses for you, it could very well be the case that your money would easily be producing better results elsewhere.

Watch your investments

Watch your investmentsAs such, always watch all your investments. Don’t take some for granted and just assume they’re doing well because they’re your “safe” ones. Actually look and analyze, all the time. Staying on top of the game and know how each stock you own is moving at any given time is the line that separates the uncertain, hesitant investor from the confident, successful one.

See you next week for part 7 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008