The Bull Hunters Guide

As we mentioned last time, we’re going to talk about the various kinds of scams that you might run into the world of investing; scams designed to separate you from your hard earned cash with false promises. The internet has given the people who perpetrate these scams a new lease on life by providing them with the anonymity needed to operate in secret and the technological means to target a much wider number of people than ever before.

However, just because the technology has advanced, the basic scams themselves are still fairly old. That’s the one thing that we have going for us when it comes to spotting investment scams: there are really only a few basic types of scam out there, and they just tend to get repeated over and over. Here are the most frequently seen:

The Pyramid Scheme

This is a scheme wherein money is solicited from investors in order to pay off previous investors who are now expecting to receive a return. Of course, such a scheme will eventually implode when the money coming in from new investors is insufficient to cover what is owed to the old investors.

Pump and Dump

This is a practical wherein a group of people purchase a stock, almost at random. They buy a large number of shares, and then they go about recommending that stock to as many as they can, usually thousands of other investors. When those people buy the stock, there is a sudden spike in the value of the stock. The duped investors will lose when the spike is followed by the inevitable fall, but those in the know will sell their holdings during the high point of the stock, thus making off with lots of profit.

In general, one should also beware of trades that take place in off shore accounts, because this is usually done to avoid operating in the jurisdiction of local law enforcement. They almost always are looking to hide something.

Next time, we’ll begin to take a look at some of the schemes in greater detail, beginning with the bulletin board scheme.

See you next week for part 3 of Investment Scams.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Last time in this blog, we started discussing the ethics of short selling. We mentioned how it’s often the case that short sellers are looked up with something of a blend of derision and skepticism simply because their own profit is dependent upon the losses of others. However true this may or may not be, there are more pressing accusations being leveled against the short seller that demand our attention; namely, the accusation that short sellers actually harm the market.

Controversy Surrounding Short Sellers

Many of you might remember the huge stock market crash back in 1987. While there were a lot of contributing factors to that fiasco, such as the sharp increase in program trading around that time, there are many who are eager to blame the entire situation on short sellers. While there’s not a ton of evidence to support this claim, there’s enough of a correlation between spikes in short selling and downturns in the market for market regulators to have enacted certain guidelines and limitations that inhibit the short seller’s ability to actually affect the direction of the market.

Contribution To The Market

Of course, for all these claims of being bad for the market, there is one aspect of short selling that undeniably makes a contribution to the market that can’t come from anywhere else. It provides a sense of liquidity to the market, keeping trades fluid, and while it tends to drive down the price of stocks overall, it also tends to drive down those that are actually overpriced and should be driven down. In this sense, short sellers can be seen as a fail safe measure against those who would seek to commit fraud by introducing securities that they know are unstable and will soon crash on hopeful investors.

All in all, short selling is a give and take kind of situation. While many aren’t fans of it, they allow it to stick around because of the undeniable benefits that it offers the market in general. Next time, however, we’ll need to take a look at one aspect of short selling that is all-around negative: those investors who make use of distinctly unethical tactics in order to facilitate their short selling.

See you next week for part 7 of Short Selling.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Last time in this blog, we began to discuss the CANSLIM method of choosing stocks. Something of a complex system for choosing, CANSLIM involves the study of 7 different criteria in an attempt to pick stocks that are most likely to generate profits for the investors. It differs from other systems in that it doesn’t depend very much on forecasting an uncertain future, but rather on the objective analysis of the current status of a stock. That’s why it has to cover so many variables, and consequently, why we needed to split it up over two entries!

Last time, we mentioned that CANSLIM has to take into consideration the current and annual earnings of a stock, as well as how the company is adapting and making changes in the marketplace, whether it be in terms of new management, new products, or just new policies on how they will conduct business. That covers the CAN part.

Supply, Demand and Leader

The S in CANSLIM stands for “Supply and Demand”. This is a very basic rule of economics that applies to all economic markets and should be very well understood by all investors, even beginning ones. How supply and demand relates to CANSLIM is that CANSLIM strategies hold that, overall, it’s easier for smaller companies to show greater profits. This is because larger companies require a greater demand in order to push the kind of supply that should show huge profits.

The L in CANSLIM stands for “Leader or Laggard”. This refers to the fact that a CANSLIM strategist asserts that one should look at the difference between those companies that lead the market and those that lag behind. Investors are always looking for the next big thing, which is just another way of saying that they’re looking for those companies that lead the market. In order to determine this, one should look for stocks that perform better than 75% of their competitors in the same industry.

Institutional Sponsorship and Market direction

The I in CANSLIM stands for “Institutional Sponsorship”. This means that a CANSLIM strategist looks for companies that demonstrate some kind of sponsorship from important and well-backed institutions. This is generally a sign that an industry has faith in a company, and that it’s going to be around, generating profits for the long haul.

The M stands for “Market Direction”. This means that a CANSLIM strategist must look not only at the stock in question, but at the entirety of the market in question. Whether or not the market as a whole is moving up or down has a big effect on the profitability of a stock. Even if all the other six factors seem sound, the company will probably not succeed and generate profits in a failing market.

Phew. That’s it for CANSLIM. Next time, we’ll continue our look at the most popular stock picking strategies out there. We’re nearly at the end, folks! Until then, happy trading!

See you next week for part 9 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Recently in this blog, we’ve addressed the topic of general stock market tips that were intended to help new investors come to terms with some of the myths and rumours that dominate the market, as well as to avoid some typical mistakes that often spell the downfall of first time investors. Having addressed a sufficient amount of those, however, it’s time to move on to some more specific topics. In particular, we’re going to begin to discuss the different strategies that are normally employed for choosing winning stocks and comment on the pros and cons of each one.

Having it all figured out

Everyone out there seems to have it all figured out when it comes to the market. They all think they have the sure-fire formula for picking up on the next big thing and hitting it big all with one well placed investment. The truth is, of course, that no one can accurately predict the future all of the time. If they could, there wouldn’t be any fun in playing the market!

As one plays the market and grows accustomed to its ups and downs, one can’t help but to begin to see patterns. This is just the nature of the phenomenal (and shortcut-loving) human mind at work. Everyone develops their own strategies. Be that as it may, there are certain strategies that have risen to the forefront and tend to be seized upon as “sound strategies” by a majority of individuals.

Fundamental analysis

The first of these, and the most important is the concept of “fundamental analysis”. Simply put, this is, of course, the analysis of the fundamentals of a company. But what exactly does that mean? The main theory here is that stocks tend to have a “real value” which is separate from the nominal value that it is being traded at on the market.

This “real value” is determined by looking at a number of factors, including the projected future cash flows of the company in question (the same thing you would look at when buying a company outright, which in a very real sense, is what stock trading is all about), as well as how fast it will generate the profit it seems to be ready to generate, and what that passage of time means in terms of inflation.

Differing schools of thought

Phew. It’s a lot to think about, and maybe that’s why there’s so many competing schools of thought on how best to determine what the real value of a company is. Those differing schools of thought are what we’re going to be discussing over the next several posts in this blog.

Until then, happy trading!

See you next week for part 2 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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In my excitement the latest release of my Internet Marketing ebook, I managed to totally forget my Bullhunter blog. My apologies! Maybe I can cheer you up with this video on my motivational blog >> It is guaranteed to make you laugh. Now, onto the topic: Basic Investment Strategies.

Underlying stock market needs

In any type of activity, there are always those people who seem to need to “keep up with the Joneses”. If the neighbors buy a new car, they have to buy a new one, and preferably one that’s more expensive, with fancier features. If the neighbors get new golf clubs, guess what? They’ve got to have them as well. No one is really sure what drives this sort of behavior, but it’s obvious that there’s some sort of underlying need for these people to prove themselves to those individuals with whom they are interacting. When these people become involved with the stock market, it’s just a disaster waiting to happen.

The serious investor

How many times have you heard the phrase serious investor used to describe someone who has sunk nearly all of their assets into the stock market? Don’t fall into this trap! The seriousness of an investor is measured by the amount of thought and care they put into managing their portfolio, not the actual dollar amount that they’re playing with. Some people never seem to get this message though. In an attempt to be taken seriously, they just keep on sinking in more and more money, regardless of the potential consequences.

What do you hope to gain by investing?

What ends up happening to these people, inevitably, is that a loss hits them, and they lose way more than they are comfortable with losing. In their desire to look serious or to be taken seriously by others, they failed to ask themselves the question of what they hoped to gain by investing. Some people are okay with a loss of 20% on their investments. Some can even handle 50%. Others might run screaming at a mere 10% loss. All of this is fine so long as you’re honest with yourself about how deeply you want to swim in this pool. Don’t go out further than you’re comfortable with, and you’ll never get into trouble that you can’t get out of.

See you next week for part 12 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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