The Bull Hunters Guide

Recently, we’ve been talking about stock picking strategies. Which ones work, which ones don’t, and more importantly, how to tell the difference between the two. In particular, we’ve looked at fundamental analysis and qualitative analysis, two of the major schools of thought when it comes to determining the inherent value of a company that one is considering investing in.

Mechanical stock picking strategy

Today, we’ll switch gears a little bit and look at a stock picking strategy that’s a little more mechanical in its approach. This is known as value investing. Value investing is often considered to be the most fundamental of all strategies, and as such, it’s thought to be rather sound in most cases.

Value Investing

When one practices value investing, one tries to find stocks that are said to have strong “fundamentals” as a result of investigating them with fundamental analysis. The “value” of a stock is determined, however, not just by the strength of its fundamentals, but also by the price at which it’s selling. A good value investor, only looks for strong companies whose stock is currently selling at a very low price because the rest of the market mistakenly thinks of that company as being rather poor, and “undervaluing” it. The idea is, basically, that there’s nowhere for that company to go but up, and the value investor is among the only ones who can see that.

The good value investor

Of course, just buying any old cheap-o stock isn’t going to fly. The value investor, more than those who use other strategies, has to really know something about what he or she is investing in. They must recognize that one is really investing in a “company”, not just in a “stock”. That company is run by people; it’s supported by numbers and strategies of its own. By looking at these, a good value investor can confidently assess that a company is really on its way up rather than its way out.

As a combination of both fundamental analysis and qualitative analysis, value investing is one of the most lucrative and powerful investment strategies out there for a trader who is willing to do his or her homework.

See you next week for part 4 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Recently in this blog, we’ve addressed the topic of general stock market tips that were intended to help new investors come to terms with some of the myths and rumours that dominate the market, as well as to avoid some typical mistakes that often spell the downfall of first time investors. Having addressed a sufficient amount of those, however, it’s time to move on to some more specific topics. In particular, we’re going to begin to discuss the different strategies that are normally employed for choosing winning stocks and comment on the pros and cons of each one.

Having it all figured out

Everyone out there seems to have it all figured out when it comes to the market. They all think they have the sure-fire formula for picking up on the next big thing and hitting it big all with one well placed investment. The truth is, of course, that no one can accurately predict the future all of the time. If they could, there wouldn’t be any fun in playing the market!

As one plays the market and grows accustomed to its ups and downs, one can’t help but to begin to see patterns. This is just the nature of the phenomenal (and shortcut-loving) human mind at work. Everyone develops their own strategies. Be that as it may, there are certain strategies that have risen to the forefront and tend to be seized upon as “sound strategies” by a majority of individuals.

Fundamental analysis

The first of these, and the most important is the concept of “fundamental analysis”. Simply put, this is, of course, the analysis of the fundamentals of a company. But what exactly does that mean? The main theory here is that stocks tend to have a “real value” which is separate from the nominal value that it is being traded at on the market.

This “real value” is determined by looking at a number of factors, including the projected future cash flows of the company in question (the same thing you would look at when buying a company outright, which in a very real sense, is what stock trading is all about), as well as how fast it will generate the profit it seems to be ready to generate, and what that passage of time means in terms of inflation.

Differing schools of thought

Phew. It’s a lot to think about, and maybe that’s why there’s so many competing schools of thought on how best to determine what the real value of a company is. Those differing schools of thought are what we’re going to be discussing over the next several posts in this blog.

Until then, happy trading!

See you next week for part 2 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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In my excitement the latest release of my Internet Marketing ebook, I managed to totally forget my Bullhunter blog. My apologies! Maybe I can cheer you up with this video on my motivational blog >> It is guaranteed to make you laugh. Now, onto the topic: Basic Investment Strategies.

Underlying stock market needs

In any type of activity, there are always those people who seem to need to “keep up with the Joneses”. If the neighbors buy a new car, they have to buy a new one, and preferably one that’s more expensive, with fancier features. If the neighbors get new golf clubs, guess what? They’ve got to have them as well. No one is really sure what drives this sort of behavior, but it’s obvious that there’s some sort of underlying need for these people to prove themselves to those individuals with whom they are interacting. When these people become involved with the stock market, it’s just a disaster waiting to happen.

The serious investor

How many times have you heard the phrase serious investor used to describe someone who has sunk nearly all of their assets into the stock market? Don’t fall into this trap! The seriousness of an investor is measured by the amount of thought and care they put into managing their portfolio, not the actual dollar amount that they’re playing with. Some people never seem to get this message though. In an attempt to be taken seriously, they just keep on sinking in more and more money, regardless of the potential consequences.

What do you hope to gain by investing?

What ends up happening to these people, inevitably, is that a loss hits them, and they lose way more than they are comfortable with losing. In their desire to look serious or to be taken seriously by others, they failed to ask themselves the question of what they hoped to gain by investing. Some people are okay with a loss of 20% on their investments. Some can even handle 50%. Others might run screaming at a mere 10% loss. All of this is fine so long as you’re honest with yourself about how deeply you want to swim in this pool. Don’t go out further than you’re comfortable with, and you’ll never get into trouble that you can’t get out of.

See you next week for part 12 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Ever hear of those “fantasy sports” leagues? People meet up on websites or even in person to build their own fantasy sports team comprised of all their favorite team members from all the various teams throughout the actual league. Then, every time a game is played in real life, the performance of the players who are involved in each person’s fantasy team are evaluated and an overall value is given to each fantasy team. At the end of the season, the fantasy team that contains the most valuable players is announced as the winning team.

The Fantasy Stock Market

Some people, it seems, like to play fantasy stock market. They do an awful lot of speculating in “what ifs” and it tends to take time away from their actual investing. This is especially true of those individuals who can never seem to let go of a stock once they sell it. We’ve all probably met someone like this. They had a poorly performing stock so they decided to sell all their shares in it. But now, they check the status of that stock more obsessively than when they actually owned it! Even though it can’t possibly affect them now which direction the stock takes, they have to know how it’s doing anyway, they have to know if they made the right choice. What if they didn’t? What if they would have been better off holding on for a little while longer?

Learn To Let Go

Letting go is one of the most important lessons to learn in the stock market. The fact is that you’re going to pick some duds over the course of your career as an investor, and when you do, you need to just forget about them and move on. If you’re constantly looking backwards and dwelling on your mistakes and whether or not they were really as bad of mistakes as you thought they were will prevent you from doing what every real investor needs to do: look ahead to the future.

Stocks Poor? Ditch It!

If you have a poorly performing stock that’s causing you grief, sell it and let that be the end of it. If you happen to come across a report of how it’s performing, fine, but don’t bother to seek it out. You’re just wasting your time. You might as well try to keep tabs on every single stock in the exchange! Instead, focus on those stocks in which you still have an actual investment, and those on which you’re thinking about investing in the near future. They are the areas that are really worth your attention and concern.

See you next week for part 11 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Investing should be a long term activity. To really get the most out of it, it must become an integral part of your life and daily routine. Therefore, today we’re going to be talking about the concept of “dollar averaging” or consistent investment of a specific set fee over a long period of time.

Dollar averaging investments

Many people view this as something like “paying the bills”, and if that helps you to think about it and remember to do it, more power to you. But what dollar averaging really is, is a personal commitment on your part to continuously feed money into your investments on a regular basis, rather than just letting them sit and do what they will. Think about it. If you were using a regular savings account instead of the stock market, would you just rely on the accruing interest, or would you continue to put money into it when you could, week by week, or month by month? Almost certainly, you’d want to invest in the wiser of the two options, the second one. The stock market is no different.

Set aside some money out of your monthly income (it doesn’t matter how much it is, just however much you’re comfortably willing to part with), and then invest that into your portfolio. This should be the same amount of money each and every month, and it is a practice that has a lot of non-obvious benefits.

Your stake in a company

Firstly, if you’re investing the same amount of money each and every month into your stocks, it’s easier to draw some conclusions about the direction that those stocks will go in. For instance, if you know you’ll be investing x amount into a stock next week, that’s something you can depend upon. You will be able to say that you have x stake in a company, without really wondering about whether that stock is going up or down. Regardless, your value is increasing, and you have more to work with in order to maximize your total profits.

Secondly, it’s a good practice because it keeps you actively engaged with the market. During slow periods, people might sometimes forget to check on the status of their investments for several days at a time. This could easily lead to disaster. However, if you’re continuously investing into your portfolio, it’s always fresh in your mind, and the incentive to check it is always looming. It keeps your investments growing and keeps you on your toes.

See you next week for part 10 of Basic Investment Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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