The Bull Hunters Guide

I hope you enjoyed last weeks post on Corporate Bonds. This week, we’re going to expand our discussion of alternate investment strategies to discuss futures contracts. This is an important topic to discuss because futures is one area where investors are particularly reluctant to tread, feeling that the process is “too advanced” for them, or that futures carry too high a risk.

Futures Can Be Risky

This is largely a misconception. Futures Contracts can indeed be risky, but if they are used wisely, they can also be used to guard against excessive risks! Let’s look at it this way. Suppose that you were to buy a futures contract on a stock for one year from today at $5 a share.

When the day comes, if the stock is valued under $5 a share, then you’re stuck with purchasing them and will have to suffer the loss. However, there’s also a chance that the stock could be valued at more than $5 a share, and you would have the unique opportunity to purchase it at a discount.

Minimizing this risk

In order to minimize risk on a futures contract, you need to understand the difference between hedging a risk and speculating. When you purchase a futures contract, or sell one, with the intention of minimizing a downside risk by locking in the current price on a particular commodity, then you are making a very common and wise use of the futures contract.

On the other hand, if you’re buying on the speculation that the commodity will soon soar and make you rich, then you’re taking quite a gamble. As you can see, futures can be an excellent source of investment, but it does require some thorough knowledge of the market before hand. However, if you possess that experience, you should not be unduly reluctant.

If you take the notion to purchase a futures contract, note that it can be done through most full service brokers. These same stock brokers can get you involved in futures trading, which is essentially the same concept, but applied to the trading that you’re already familiar with.

See you next week for part 7 of Investments.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2009

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Today, we’re going to wrap up our series on stock picking strategies. Over the course of this series, we’ve looked at the stock picking strategies that are most commonly employed to great success by those who’ve been in the investment game for a while. While we recognize that no one strategy is going to produce a winner every time, we thought it was worthwhile to look at these notorious techniques to see what each one had to offer in comparison to the others.

As is fitting for a series like this, the last stock picking strategy we’re going to look at is one that is completely different in every possible way from everything that came before. While up until now, the underlying basis of every strategy we’ve covered has been the principle of fundamental analysis, today we’re going to turn that on its head by looking at technical analysis.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is focused almost entirely on the view of the market as a whole, with an eye towards its predictable trends and future prices, rather than the makeup and foundation of any one company. As a result, it’s the most predictive of stock picking methods, and in some ways the most radical. It is not without those who swear by it, though.

Technical analysis asserts that just by looking at the prices on the market, we can learn a lot about where that market is moving, because prices tend to move in trends. Working from the maxim that history tends to repeat itself, technical analysts often invest in those companies that show good trends based on market charts, rather than the intrinsic value of the company behind a stock.

Lookout For Market Movements

For that reason, many decry technical analysis as a stock picking strategy with no long term usage. And indeed it isn’t. That said, it never claimed to be. Because a technical analyst is constantly on the lookout for market movements, he or she tends to spend little time sitting on any one stock for very long. They prefer to soak up the profits (or losses) from rapid movements, and then move on, rather than worry about the long term gains to be had from any one stock.

That wraps up our series on the most popular and arguably effective stock picking strategies. Hopefully by now you’ve learned enough to start developing your own strategies, and that they’ll pay off for you in the long run. Join us next time as we embark on an all new avenue of exploration in the exciting world of stock market investment.

Thank you for hanging around for Bullhunter’s second investment series: Part 1 – 10 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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This continues our series of in-depth looks at the different strategies that are commonly employed by big name investors when they go to choose the stocks that they’re going to invest their hard earned money into. In fact, though it’s the case that everyone out there seems to have their own system for doing things, there are a fairly set number of strategies that seem to pop up over and over again. It’s these that we’ve been examining, as we feel they’re the most noteworthy.

CANSLIM

Having discussed all the basic and secondary strategies already, we’re going to move on to a stock picking strategy that represents something of a modern hybrid of picking techniques. It’s known as CANSLIM, and the whole idea is that it allows one to pay attention to a lot of different objective factors at the same time (seven to be exact) in an attempt to pick a stock without relying on subjective forecasts of future values that might not end up holding water.

Because it’s such a complex strategy, we’re going to cover it in two separate blog entries. Three of the aspects will be covered this time, and four next time, finishing it up.

What Does CANSLIM Stand For?

First off, the C in CANSLIM stands for “Current Earnings”. This is meant to indicate that you need to look at whether or not a stock’s earnings per share have risen on a consistent yearly basis. Generally speaking, if a stock’s earnings per share are continuing to increase over a period of a year, it’s said to be in good condition as far as this criteria is concerned.

The A stands for “Annual Earnings”. This indicates that one should look at whether or not a company has shown a good consistent growth over a period of years. Clearly, this implies that companies with a history of at least a few years tend to be in better standing in the CANSLIM method. However, there’s something of an exception…

The N stands for “New”. This means that CANSLIM strategists tend to look for companies that are offering something new. Because they also look for consistent growth over a long history, this means that they usually seek out old companies that are undergoing changes that alter the way that they do business. This could be anything from new management, to a new product line.

Next time, we’ll cover the other four aspects of CANSLIM.

See you next week for part 8 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Over the last few entries, we’ve been looking at different stock picking strategies and how they measure up, as well as the fundamental principles that inform them. The purpose here isn’t so much to find one magic strategy that always picks winners, but rather to inform the reader to be able to look at strategies and tell how sound they are based on the principles that form the backbone of those strategies.

Value and Growth Investing

In the last two entries, we talked about value investing and growth investing. In other words, investing based upon the perceived value of a stock, and investing based upon the projected growth of a stock over a period of time. Today, we’re going to expand upon both of those slightly by looking at a new kind of strategy that forms something of a hybrid of the two, taking the advantages of both are trying to meld them together into a cohesive whole. This is called GARP investing.

The GARP Strategy

The GARP strategy basically involves looking for companies that are undervalued by the market as a whole, yet have solid potential for sustainable growth in the near future. In particular, those who employ the GARP strategy tend to look for those companies that fall into the gap that’s overlooked by pure value or pure growth investors. In other words, a GARP investment would probably be not as undervalued as the pick of a pure value investor, but would still qualify as undervalued enough to earn a profit based upon its future growth potential.

The True Nature of The GARP Method

There is a lot of criticism about the GARP method out there, because of its perceived unwillingness to commit to one method or the other. This conception, however, betrays a misunderstanding of the true nature of the GARP method. The claim that it fails to establish meaningful standards of worthiness for an investment don’t hold water, because if one looks at GARP in isolation from other strategies, it still defines a very specific set of characteristics that adherents should look out for.

GARP = Growth At a Reasonable Price

See you next week for part 6 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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Last time in this blog, we discussed value investing, which is essentially the strategy of finding a company that looks to have good prospects but is undervalued by other onlookers who are playing the market. One then buys stock in that company while it’s at a low price, and then enjoys the returns when their prediction pays off and the company’s value increases despite prevalent opinion to the contrary.

Growth Investing

Today, however, we’ll be looking at a competing strategy that has enjoyed just as much success and notoriety over the years: growth investing. Whereas value investors look at the present state of a company in order to forecast the wisdom in investing in them, a growth investor more or less ignore that in favour of attempting to assess a company’s future growth potential, regardless of its current price. In other words, while a value investor would ignore a high priced stock, regardless of the company behind it, a growth investor would not. He or she would look at the factors that would let them realize that that high priced stock is about to become a super-high priced stock, meaning they’ll be making just as much of a profit as the value investor would have in his or her value priced stocks.

Sudden explosive growth

Since a growth investor relies heavily on companies that experience sudden explosive growth, it makes sense that they would look to the two arenas that see that kind of activity most often: new businesses, and businesses in industries related to new technologies. There’s no hard and fast formula for determining whether or not a company that matches this criteria will actually experience the explosive growth that growth investors are hoping for, but by looking at certain matters of fundamental analysis such as whether or not the company has grown in the past, and matters of qualitative analysis such as how their current position in the market is looking, one can put together a reasonable assessment of a company’s potential future growth.

Risk levels for the investor

There is some sense in which growth investing is said to be riskier than value investing. While this may be so, it’s certainly a strategy that has met with a lot of success over the years, and continues to do so for those who know how to wisely employ it.

Join us next time as we look at more time-tested strategies for choosing the right stocks, at the right time.

See you next week for part 5 of Stock Picking Strategies.

Sean Rasmussen
The Bullhunters Guide
Universal Wealth Creation © 2004 - 2008

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